In the classic 1997 Barry Levinson film Wag the Dog, a
Washington,
D.C. spin doctor played by Robert
De Niro constructs a phony overseas entanglement just days before a national election
in a bid to boost the re-election hopes of an incumbent president. The title
of the film referred to something of secondary importance improperly taking on
primary importance. In the study of political communication, this effect is
known as
priming. Intense media coverage of
a subject can result in a candidate’s record in that area taking precedence in
the minds of voters over more important issues, such as running the economy.
|
The evidence |
Last week’s freeing of 45 peacekeepers held hostage in the
Middle East was thus like manna from heaven for the Bainimarama regime, as
their capture had fixated the nation almost more than the election. Could the
junta’s
Washington, D.C. spin
doctor Qorvis Communications have had anything to do with the
$20 million ransom reportedly paid by Qatar for their release? Qorvis has the bulk of its clients in the
Middle
East, including
Qatar’s state broadcaster Al-Jazeera. A ransom of $20 million would be chump change to the oil-rich Qataris, and
release of the Fijian peacekeepers would be of immense public relations value
to the
Fiji
regime.
The junta thus blatantly milked its good fortune for all it was worth,
declaring yesterday
Thanksgiving in advance of today’s election. (
Fiji
time, of course.) As a 48-hour media blackout has supposedly descended on the
nation in advance of polling, the news focus will thus have been on the
ceremony at the national stadium. Nothing but
warm fuzzy feelings will no
doubt be felt toward the government, which could have been quite different had
the peacekeepers not been released, or even worse been executed. Frank Bainimarama
must feel doubly blessed, what with the apparently dismal performance of
Sodelpa leader Ro Teimumu Kepa in the recent televised debate. Had the
articulate NFP leader Biman Prasad been part of the proceedings, the outcome
could have been considerably different. Expect Bainimarama to breeze to victory
in the polls, but not quite by the unanimous margin he covets.
As for that media blackout, all is mostly quiet on the
domestic front, if not on the blogs.
Pacific Scoop reports that government broadcaster FBC ran ads for Fiji FIST within 48 hours of polling, in
contravention of the Elections Decree, although they have now disappeared. “Several blogs, a
Fiji
news agency and many political parties have all apparently broken the rules
online,” noted student journalist Thomas Carnegie from
Auckland.
“The potential breaches show the inability of the overwhelmed Fijian
authorities to monitor the chaotic internet. They also raise questions about
why the Elections Decree attempted to criminalise the online world over
blackout breaches.”
Many blogs have also published commentaries that would seem
to breach Section 118. Fiji Media Wars blogger Marc Edge posted a commentary
yesterday heavily criticising Bainimarama. He wrote that Fijian authorities had
little influence over the blogosphere. “The dictatorship thinks it can
even prevent overseas media and blogs from reporting what it wants suppressed.
This is proof that it can’t,” he added. FijiLeaks, published by investigative
journalist Victor Lal, posted a comment that the media blackout was a “sinister
ploy” to stop damaging information about Fiji First being revealed.
I’m not quite sure what Carnegie is referring to as “a
commentary yesterday heavily criticising Bainimarama.” I instead posted two
first-person accounts of beatings administered as part of what I described as “the
regime’s brutal crackdown on pro-democracy activists in the wake of military
commander Frank Bainimarama seizing power in December 2006.” That’s hardly a
political commentary. Perhaps they were referring to this bit of
editorializing.
Events in Fiji
have reached a point where many wish to speak out about what has gone on there
for the past eight years. The climate of fear that has visited the country
during Bainimarama’s reign of terror has prevented much of his abuse from going
unreported. The question becomes, how much truth can come out in the next two
days?
That’s hardly political advocacy, however. I have never
advocated for one party over another in
Fiji. I take no position on Fiji politics. My only ambition is to give light to facts which have been suppressed. If those facts have
political implications, then so be it. This is much different to
New
Zealand blogger Crosbie Walsh, who instead
blatantly electioneered for Bainimarama yesterday in a clear breach of
the Elections Decree. “I am saying vote FijiFirst and don’t waste your vote by
voting for any any [sic.] of the minor parties,” wrote Croz, who obviously needs a copy editor. His update to a blog entry titled
“What if I’m Wrong?”, which I and others pointed to as expressing doubts about the dictator, was defensive and obviously hurried, perhaps after a heated phone call from Suva. Croz even laced
the comments section several times over with a further disclaimer.
To all discussants. Thank you for your comments. Several of
you have said I expressed doubt about the Bainimrama goverment [sic.] and took this to
mean I had changed my opinion. This is not correct. I am rarely, if ever,
“certain” on any important issue, and often start from a position of doubt. I
usually consider the likely motivations, causes and effects before making an
assessment or judgment. Isn’t this what every intelligent person does? I wrote the UPDATE because the anti-Bainimarama blogs took what I consider to
be an honest and upfront statement and ignored its main message which was vote
FijiFirst. The only real alternative, SODELPA, will set Fiji
back a decade.
Croz also deleted several of my comments to the effect that
he was indeed wrong. Meanwhile he has left up vile threats such as this one: “Marc Edge, we are watching the arrivals into Fiji.
Come if you dare. A wonderful welcome awaits you. You won’t be able to sit down
for a year. But then again, you will probably enjoy it. Just biding our time.
Tick tick tick.” I guess that’s just proof that I’m on the right track and
that the junta really is a vile, murderous lot. I have also been dropped from the Facebook group Friends of Fiji MEDIA for the crime of having posted links there to my latest blog entries. Group administrators are obviously concerned about penalties in the Elections Decree that provide for fines of up to $50,000 and prison sentences of up to 10 years in prison for violating the blackout. I haven’t been dropped from other Facebook groups, for some reason, such as the Fiji Democratic Forum or the Fiji Economic Forum, so I should be able to post a link to this blog entry in those groups. Does that mean economists and democrats are less concerned than media are about violating the Elections Decree? More likely it means there hasn’t been the pressure applied to them that has obviously been applied to Fiji media.